SPEEDRATINGS.COM RACING BLOG

NEWS AND INFORMATION ABOUT THE HORSERACING WORLD AND OUR SPEED RATINGS

 

Going (26th May 2018)

From Saturday, 26th May 2018, our speedratings system will now analyse the going of today's race and will use this to select horses for the Gold and Silver selections which have already proven to have achieved a good rating on today's going or a going which is very similar to this. The system will analyse much deeper back through the previous races (sometimes further back than the last six displayed) to find ratings on a similar going, which the horse is more likely to be able to reproduce. Previously, although we highlighted the number of wins for every horse on today's going, the system did not permit today's going to influence the prediction of the selections. Horses will now receive a more accurate rating 'for today' (the rating under the cup icon). However, more horses are likely to receive a rating of zero, despite the possibility that they may have already raced several times, especially if these are lightly raced two year old colts and fillies and they have yet to race on going similar to today. This is not a bad thing and should be considered as a warning that none of the previous ratings for the horse can be relied on to be repeated as these were achieved over very different going than today. Selections are also now subject to change throughout the day but this is only likely to occur when there has been a heavy downpour of rain during the day, which was significant enough to change the official going. It is important to note that we will not be amending the last six ratings for every horse but only the rating predicted for today and the predicted Gold and Silver selections based on this rating.

Calibration (17th May 2018)

From Thursday, 17th May 2018, our speed ratings have been calibrated to further improve the accuracy of our standard times for every racetrack. The quality of the horses racing at various race meetings can vary significantly. If you were to analyse the average class of horses racing at Redcar and compare these to those racing at Royal Ascot, you will realise that there is a significant class gap. Calibration fixes this irregularity between race meeting and brings each meeting into line so they can be compared more accurately. You should notice slightly more consistent ratings when a horse has been racing over many different meetings in its last six races.